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Juan Cole
Professor Juan Cole giving a lecture at the University of Minnesota
Born	October 1952 Albuquerque, New Mexico
Occupation	Historian

John "Juan" Ricardo I. Cole (born October 1952 in Albuquerque, New Mexico) is an American professor of modern Middle Eastern and South Asian history at the University of Michigan. As a commentator on Middle Eastern affairs, he has appeared in print and on television, and testified before the United States Senate. He has published several peer-reviewed books on the modern Middle East and is a translator of both Arabic and Persian. Since 2002, he has written a weblog, Informed Comment (formerly Informed Consent).

Contents 1 Background and education 2 Appointments and awards 2.1 Yale appointment 3 Academic interests 3.1 Baha'i Studies 3.2 Mainstream Shi'ism 3.3 Egypt 3.4 Kahlil Gibran translations 4 Commentator on Middle Eastern affairs 5 Informed Comment blog 6 Hitchens and Ahmadinejad's speech 7 Other activities 8 Views 8.1 Al-Qaeda 8.2 Afghanistan 8.3 Iran 8.4 Iraq 8.5 Turkey 8.6 Saudi Arabia 8.7 Israel 8.8 Lebanon 8.9 Syria 8.10 Kurdistan 8.11 Pakistan 8.12 Kashmir 8.13 Egypt 8.14 Sudan 9 Criticism 10 Selected bibliography 10.1 Texts 10.2 Journal Issues 10.3 Translations 11 References 12 External links

Cole's father served in the United States Army Signal Corps and afterwards in the Satellite Corps, completing two tours with the U.S. military in France (a total of seven years) and one 18-month stay at Kagnew Station in Asmara, Eritrea (then Ethiopia). When Cole was age two his family left New Mexico for France. He was schooled at a variety of locations. These included being on a series of military bases at dependent schools, sometimes in civilian schools. Some of schooling occurring in the USA in North Carolina and in California. He attended twelve different schools in twelve years.^[1]

He obtained his undergraduate degree at Northwestern University. For two quarters in his senior year he conducted a research project in Beirut. Although he returned to Beirut as a graduate student in the fall of 1975, the civil war prevented him from continuing his studies there. As a consequence he pursued a Masters degree at the American University in Cairo in Islamic and Middle Eastern studies. Upon completion he went back to Beirut for another year. From 1978 to 1979 he worked in Beirut as a translator for a newspaper.^[1]

In 1979 he attended University of California, Los Angeles as a doctoral student in the field of Islamic Studies, graduating in 1984. After his graduation, Cole was appointed Assistant Professor of History at the University of Michigan where he would become a full professor in 1995.^[2] Cole married the former Shahin Malik in Lahore in 1982. The couple has one son, Arman, born in 1987.^[3] Cole became a member of the Bahá'í Faith in 1972 as an undergraduate at Northwestern, and the Bahá'í religion later became a focus of his academic career. Cole officially resigned from the religion in 1996 after disputes with Bahá'í leadership concerning the Bahá'í system of administration.

Cole reports that he first became interested in Islam in Eritrea, which has a population roughly half Christian and half Muslim. He has personal and professional experience in the Middle East and South Asia having lived for six years in the Arab world, and another two and a half in South Asia. He has continued to visit the region in the past fifteen years, as stated in his blog, in order to keep in touch with the "pulse of opinion and changing local views."

Cole was awarded Fulbright-Hays fellowships to India (1982) and to Egypt (1985-1986). From 1999 until 2004, Juan Cole was the editor of The International Journal of Middle East Studies. He has served in professional offices for the American Institute of Iranian Studies.^[3] He was elected president of the Middle East Studies Association of North America in November 2004.^[4] In 2006, he received the James Aronson Award for Social Justice Journalism administered by Hunter College. ^[5]

• 1975 B.A. History and Literature of Religions, Northwestern University
• 1978 M.A. Arabic Studies/History, American University in Cairo
• 1984 Ph.D. Islamic Studies, University of California Los Angeles
• 1984-1990 Assistant Professor of History, University of Michigan
• 1990-1995 Associate Professor of History, University of Michigan
• 1992-1995 Director, Center for Middle Eastern and North African Studies, University of Michigan
• 1995- Professor of History, University of Michigan

In 2006 Cole was nominated to teach at Yale University and was approved by both Yale's sociology and history departments. However, the senior appointments committee overruled the departments, and Cole was not appointed.

According to "several Yale faculty members," the decision to overrule Cole's approval was "highly unusual."^[6] Yale Deputy Provost Charles Long stated that "Tenure appointments at Yale are very complicated and they go through several stages, and [the candidates] can fail to pass at any of the stages. Every year, at least one and often more fail at one of these levels, and that happened in this case." ^[7] The history department vote was 13 yes, 7 no, with 3 abstensions.^[8] Professors interviewed by the Yale Daily News said "the faculty appeared sharply divided."^[7]

Yale Historian Paula Hyman commented that the deep divisions in the appointment committee were the primary reasons that Cole was rejected: "There was also concern, aside from the process, about the nature of his blog and what it would be like to have a very divisive colleague."^[7] Yale political science professor Steven B. Smith commented, "It would be very comforting for Cole's supporters to think that this got steamrolled because of his controversial blog opinions. The blog opened people's eyes as to what was going on."^[9] Another Yale historian, John Merriman, said of Cole's rejection: "In this case, academic integrity clearly has been trumped by politics."^[10]

In an interview on Democracy Now!, Cole noted that he had never applied for the Yale job: "Some people at Yale asked if they could look at me for a senior appointment. I said, 'Look all you want.' So that's up to them. Senior professors are like baseball players. You’re being looked at by other teams all the time. If it doesn't result in an offer, then nobody takes it seriously." He described the so-called "scandal" surrounding his nomination as "a tempest in a teapot" that had been exaggerated by "neo-con journalists": "Who knows what their hiring process is like, what things they were looking for?"^[11]

Having converted to the Baha'i religion in 1972, Cole began his academic life in the field of Baha'i Studies, in which he would become quite influential. Life as a Baha'i encouraged Cole to study the languages, cultures, and history of the Middle East (where the religion originated), and also to "pioneer" on behalf of his faith in several countries with large Muslim populations. These included Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt, and India. (For a fuller description of Cole's overseas experience, see here.)^[12] Cole now speaks Arabic (Modern Standard as well as Lebanese and Egyptian dialects), Persian, and Urdu, and is familiar with Turkish.^[3]

Many of Cole's interests have their origins in his Baha'i background. For example, his interest in Shaykh Ahmad-i-Aksa'i is explainable in terms of Shaykhi influence on the nascent Babi and Baha'i religions. All of these movements arose in the context of Shi'a Islam, and like many Baha'i scholars, Cole made Shi'ism another academic specialty, ultimately writing several monographs on the subject (including historical and political as well as religious dimensions). Native Shi'a communities stretch in an arc from Saudi Arabia to India, and Cole has written on various countries in this arc as well as on Islam in general, the secular history and politics of the region, and comparative studies.

As a result of conflict with the Baha'i leadership, Cole resigned his membership in the religion in 1996. He later announced that he had recovered his private faith, but remains "out of communion" with the Baha'i hierarchy. ^[13] Cole continued to publish on the Bahá'í religion for several years after his resignation; however, with the decade of the 2000's he seems to have moved on to other subjects. Since 9-11 his writings have become more expressly political.

As newcomer to the field, Cole established contacts with a number of like-minded Baha'i scholars, whose discussions took on a life of their own with the rise of the internet. For example, Cole created H-Bahai, a (now inactive, though still extant) website making available a wealth of difficult-to-obtain primary sources on the religion.^[14]

Many of Cole's early writings on the Baha'i religion were for Baha'i presses, or else for an online journal which he co-edited (Occasional Papers in the Shaykhi, Babi, and Baha'i Religions, associated with H-Bahai). Some of these were translations, including several "unofficial" scriptural translations, and two volumes by/about early Baha'i theologian Mirza Abu'l-Fadl. ^[15]. He has maintained much of this material, as well as other documents and links, online.^[16]

Cole is the author of the following monographs:

• Sacred Space and Holy War (IB Tauris 2002), a collection of essays on Shi'ism in Iraq, Iran and the Gulf states;

• The Ayatollahs and Democracy in Contemporary Iraq (Amsterdam University Press, 2006)

• The Roots of North Indian Shi`ism in Iran and Iraq (California, 1989)

In addition, he co-edited (with Nikkie R. Keddie) the volume Shi`ism and Social Protest (Yale, 1986); and edited Religion in Iran: From Zoroaster to Baha'u'llah by Alessandro Bausani (New York: Bibliotheca Persica Press, 2000). The latter is a translation of Bausani's Persia Religiosa (Milan, 1958) with afterwords and bibliographical updates.

Cole wrote

• Colonialism and Revolution in the Middle East: Social and Cultural Origins of Egypt's `Urabi Movement (Princeton, 1993);

• Napoleon's Egypt: Invading the Middle East (Macmillan: 2007).

Kahlil Gibran is a well-known Lebanese-American poet, essayist, and artist who wrote in Arabic as well as English. Cole has translated three volumes of his Arabic-language literary writings:

• Broken Wings: A Novel by Kahlil Gibran. [Translation of the Arabic novel, al-Ajnihah al-Mutakassirah .] Ashland, Or.: White Cloud Press, 1998.

• The Vision [ar-Ru'ya] of Kahlil Gibran [collection of 24 essays and prose poems translated from the Arabic, one of which is called "The Vision"]. Harmondsworth: Penguin, 1998. [ Hardcover Edn.: Ashland, Or.: White Cloud Press, 1994.]

• Spirit Brides [`Ara'is al-muruj] of Kahlil Gibran [three short stories translated from the Arabic]. Santa Cruz: White Cloud Press, 1993.

Note that Gibran was a Maronite Christian, not a Muslim (despite Sufi influence).

Cole has mentioned being contacted by a lawyer representing Gibran's heirs, who asserted the family's claim to copyright, although these works (published 1905 - 1915) were clearly out of copyright. ^[17]

Cole was cited by the press as a Middle East expert several times since 1990.^[18] However, he was considered obscure outside his field prior to 2002, when he began publishing his weblog.^[19] From 2002 onwards, Cole has been an active commentator in the UK and US media on topics related to the Middle East. His focus has primarily been Iraq, Iran, The Palestinian Authority, and Israel. He has published op-eds on the Mideast at the Washington Post, Le Monde Diplomatique, The Guardian, the San Jose Mercury News, the San Francisco Chronicle, The Boston Review, The Nation, the Daily Star, Tikkun magazine as well as at Salon.com, where he is a frequent contributor ^[20]. He has appeared on the PBS Lehrer News Hour, Nightline, ABC Evening News, the Today Show, Anderson Cooper 360°, Late Edition with Wolf Blitzer, Al Jazeera and CNN Headline News.^[21]

Since 2002, Cole has published the blog Informed Comment, covering "History, Middle East, South Asia, Religious Studies, and the War on Terror". Blog entries include comments on widely-reported articles in Western media, summaries of important articles from Arabic and Israeli news sources, and letters and discussions with both critics and supporters.

The blog has won various awards; as of April 2006 the most prominent is the 2005 James Aronson Award for Social Justice Journalism from Hunter College.^[22] It has also received two 2004 Koufax Awards: the "Best Expert Blog" and the "Best Blog Post".^[23] It has since dropped off the list, but Informed Comment has been ranked as the 99th most popular blog on the Internet by Technorati on October 21, 2006. ^[24] Cole is a strong critic of the George W. Bush administration and is one of the most respected foreign policy commentators amongst left-wing bloggers.^[25]

The July 2006 issue of Chronicle of Higher Education featured a cover story on Cole's blog and its role in his career ("The Lessons of Juan Cole"). Following essays by several academic bloggers, Cole was given a chance to respond to the question of whether academics should risk careers advancement by blogging. His reply, in part, was:

The question is whether Web-log commentary helps or damages an academic's career. It is a shameful question. Intellectuals should not be worrying about "careers," the tenured among us least of all. Despite the First Amendment, which only really protects one from the government, most Americans who speak out can face sanctions from other institutions in society. Journalists are fired all the time for taking the wrong political stance. That is why most bloggers employed in the private sector are anonymous or started out trying to be so.

See also: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Israel

Cole and Christopher Hitchens traded barbs regarding the translation and meaning of a passage in one of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's speeches, which Fathi Nazila of the New York Times's Tehran bureau translated as saying: "Our dear Imam [Khomeini] said that the occupying regime must be wiped off the map."^[26] Hitchens accused Cole of attempting to minimize the meaning of the speech. According to Hitchens, Cole was distorting the meaning of the speech which was that Ahmadinejad was "repeating the standard line" that "the state of Israel is illegitimate and must be obliterated".^[27] Cole wrote that although he "personally despise[s] everything Ahmadinejad stands for, not to mention the odious Khomeini",^[28] that he "object[ed] to this translation"^[28] for two reasons. First, because he believes that it suggests that Ahmadinejad advocates an invasion of Israel, and secondly, because Cole argues that a more precise translation would be "the occupation regime over Jerusalem should vanish from the page of time" which is likely a poetic phrase, rather than a military threat.^[28]

Hitchens also impugned Cole's competency in both Persian and "plain English", and called him "a minor nuisance on the fringes of the academic Muslim apologist community," and Cole accused Hitchens of unethically using his emails to a private discussion group, having a "debilitating drinking problem", and pushing for a neoconservative-backed invasion of Iran.^{[29] [30][31]}

In 2004, the U.S. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations requested Cole's testimony at hearings to better understand the situation in Iraq.^[32]

Cole is president and treasurer of the Global Americana Institute, a group of academics specializing in the Middle East who are working to translate the seminal works of American democracy into various Middle Eastern languages. The group's web site states that the "project will begin with a selected set of passages and essays by Thomas Jefferson on constitutional and governmental issues such as freedom of religion, the separation of powers, inalienable rights, the sovereignty of the people, and so forth."^[33]

Cole is an avid science fiction fan and has a strong personal interest in human rights issues. ^[34]

Generally speaking, Cole approaches the Middle East and West Asia from the point of view of anti-colonialism. Viewing the USA as a colonialist power, he sees it as defending the post-World War I "Sykes-Picot/ Balfour architecture" (described as "a colossal failure") against Arab nationalist or pan-Islamic challengers. These foundered for various reasons, especially "particularism." The U.S., like previous empires, seeks to take advantage of such internal rivalries in order to "divide and rule." ^[35]Terrorism, he explains (after comparing several countries in the region), is the result of foreign occupation in combination with weak states. ^[36]

Cole's perspective is also informed by his Baha'i background which favors internationalism, ethnic diversity, and modernism--values which he traces to various 19th-century Middle Eastern historical developments (the subject of his Modernity and the Millennium.) One important consequence is that he tends to value multinational (and especially UN) initiatives over unilateral military ones. ^[37] Another is that he favors multi-ethnic states over separatist movements. A third is that he views Islam (along with other religions) as essentially good, but distorted by certain of its political appropriators (and critics). ^[38] Cole's resignation from the organized form of his religion freed him from Baha'i strictures against political involvement, and his blog often offers center-left political opinion.

Cole distinguishes "traditional" al-Qaeda from various 4-6 man cells scattered around the world who may identify with its goal, and use the name, but are not otherwise in contact with it. The former group consists of perhaps 5,000 members ("probably no more than a few hundred of them actually dangerous to the United States") whose activities "should be combatted by good police and counter-terrorism work." Cole thinks that the prevailing U.S. understanding of "al-Qaeda" conflates various unrelated Muslim groups into a "bogeyman." ^[39]

As of 2006 there were "less than 1000" foreign (i.e., genuine) al-Qaeda fighters in Iraq, ^[40] although the Bush administration's actions have caused increasing numbers of Iraqi Sunnis to sympathize or identify with that organization.^[41] Cole dismisses as "implausible" the prospect of such groups taking over Iraq. ^[42].

Cole calls the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan "the right war at the right time," and credits it with breaking up a network of al-Qaeda training camps which posed a danger to the U.S. ^[43] However, he charges that Bush

left the job half done in Afghanistan and ran off to Iraq, which was always irrelevant to al-Qaeda. There were no good [oil-related] targets in Afghanistan, just Bin Laden and Zawahiri. ^[44]

Cole complains that Iraq has displaced Aghanistan from the public consciousness. "As for money, Iraq has hogged the lion's share," he writes. "What has been spent on reconstruction in Afghanistan is piddling." ^[45] Talk of furthering democracy and women's rights, or eliminating opium poppy cultivation there, has all but evaporated.("Half of Afghanistan's gross domestic product now comes from poppy sales.") ^[46] Al-Qaeda now controls some territory in the south of Afghanistan, and is poised to return to power. ^[47]

Cole's perspective on Iran is inescapably colored by his Baha'i background. The Baha'i religion first arose among Persian exiles in the Ottoman empire, has many of its scriptures in Persian, and has always had a large number of Persian adherents. Cole's writings accordingly celebrate Persia as a source of culture. At the same time, Cole has met Baha'is who were later martyred by the Khomeini regime. ^[48]

Cole supported the reformist president Muhammad Khatami and rued his electoral loss to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. He reports that in 2003, Iran (addressing the Bush administration through the Swiss embassy) proposed a comprehensive peace agreement, which Bush refused even to discuss:

Recognition of Israel within 1967 borders, pressure on Hizbullah and the Palestinians to moderate, signing the additional protocols of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, full cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, it was all there for Bush's taking. ^[49]

Cole has written numerous posts warning that the Bush administration is attempting to create a war with Iran. He suggests that sabre-rattling offers a way for two unpopular regimes to attract nationalistic support. ^[50] He has also speculated that the Bush administration's objective in Iran is to control future supplies of oil and natural gas, while denying them to energy-hungry China and India. ^[51]

On the nuclear issue, he writes that "Iran is a good ten years away from having a bomb," and points out that Ali Khamenei and other leaders have condemned nuclear weapons as un-Islamic.^[52] Cole also dismisses the Bush administration's allegation that Iran has supported terrorism in Iraq or Afghanistan. Rather, the U.S. has lent support to anti-Iranian terrorist groups such as PEJAK. ^[53]

Cole chastizes several U.S. presidential candidates including Hillary Clinton, Rudolph Giuliani, and Mitt Romney, for making bellicose statements about Iran in order to present themselves in a tougher or more conservative light:

Among the Republican front-runners, debate about Iran occurs in a dark, upside-down fantasy land, where a weak third-world regime with no air force to speak of plots a military strike on the planet's sole superpower.[...] Iran has not launched an aggressive war against a neighbor since 1785 and does not have a history of military expansionism. Its population is a third that of the United States and its military is small and weak. ^[54]

From the beginning of his blog in 2002, Cole has warned of the difficulties a U.S. invasion of Iraq would present, especially in its aftermath. At first he tried to dissociate himself from either pro-war or anti-war stances, stating that he had "mixed feelings" on the issue. (I.e., he opposed Saddam Hussein's regime, but feared disaster.) ^[55]

Cole now blames the George W. Bush administration for creating what he calls a "failed state" in Iraq. He particularly cites its decision to disband the Iraqi Army, its treatment of prisoners, its alienation of neighboring countries, its corrupt economic policies, and long delays in organizing elections and forming a (weak) government.^[56] Bush's ill-conceived Middle East policies, says Cole, were urged upon him by American oil companies, neo-conservative Republicans, and right-wing Israel supporters.

Cole rejects the Bush administrations early claims of Iraqi cooperation with al-Qaida, noting that Saddam Hussein had "...persecuted and killed both Sunni and Shiite fundamentalists in great number."^[57]; as well as claims to the effect that Iraq was developing weapons of mass destruction ^[58] Rather than making America safer, he says, the war has ironically had the opposite effect, inspiring anti-U.S. militants.

Cole, who began to call the Iraqi conflict a "civil war" as early as 2004 ^[59], now says that it consists of three distinct wars: "for control of Basra among Shiite militiamen; for control of Baghdad and its hinterlands between Sunnis and Shiites; and for control of Kirkuk among Kurds, Arabs and Turkmen." ^[60] Two of these conflicts are traceable to Arab enmity against the U.S. invaders, perceived as supporting Shi'is and Kurds, while the conflict in Basra ("...among SCIRI, the Sadr Movement, Da`wa and Fadhila, plus some small Sadrist offshoots") is unrelated. ^[61] A key issue is whether some of the southern Iraqi provinces are to be joined together into a "regional confederacy" (Cole's language), as in Kurdistan. Several Shi'i political parties support incompatible plans which would benefit their respective constituencies and home regions.

In a 2003 editorial entitled "Iraq must be Kept together as a Single State," ^[62], Cole states that partition would be "unacceptable to all the neighbors" and undesired by most Iraqis. Furthermore, the Sunni daughter state would be unviable, while Kurdistan would face dire problems. Cole writes:

The Middle East suffers from having small countries imposed by Western colonialism, such that the petroleum wealth is in tiny principalities and the human capital in huge but poor countries like Egypt. The region doesn't need any more small poor countries with populations of 4 million each.

The alternative is to build into the new Iraq guarantees against a tyranny of the Shiite majority. Have a bicameral legislature that over-represents the Sunnis slightly. Have a bill of rights. Have elected provincial governors and legislatures with their own local purview that the central state cannot over-rule. In other words, learn something from a success story: the US constitution.

Cole's "nightmare scenario" for Iraq (August 22, 2005):

And as I have argued before, an Iraq civil war will likely become a regional war, drawing in Iran, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria and Turkey. If a regional guerrilla war breaks out among Kurds, Turks, Shiites and Sunni Arabs, the guerrillas could well apply the technique of oil pipeline sabotage to Iran and Saudi Arabia, just as they do now to the Kirkuk pipeline in Iraq. If 20% of the world's petroleum production were taken off-line by such sabotage, the poor of the world would be badly hurt, and the whole world would risk another Great Depression.

His proposed exit strategy for the U.S. may be found in the same article, ^[63] with additional comments here. ^[64]

Cole praises Turkey's secularism and booming economy, calling it "the strongest ally that the United States has had in the Middle East since the end of WW II." He chastizes the Bush administration for alienating Turks by failing to control the PKK in Iraqi Kurdistan, and because of a (failed) 2007 Congressional resolution condemning the Armenian genocide. At the same time, he also warns Turkey not to invade Kurdistan, as this would result in disaster for these two relatively well-off regions. ^[65]

Cole writes:

I don't like the lack of democracy in Saudi Arabia, because I think it makes a key country unstable (on the whole, democracies are stable in the long run and dictatorships are not). I don't like radical fundamentalism in any religion because it is reactionary and threatens the liberty of us all. [...] But the Saudi state is not like the Iraqi Baath Party or a sponsor of international terrorism as that is currently defined by the Bush administration. ^[66]

However, Cole acknowledges that 45 percent of the foreign fighters in Iraq are Saudi. ^[67]

On another occasion he observed that "there is no prospect in my lifetime of Saudi Arabia being less than indispensable to the United States in the global energy market." ^[68]

Cole is a strong critic of Israel's foreign and military policy and its treatment of Palestinians. He criticizes the nature of America's support for Israel and the activities of the Israel lobby,^[69] and claims that some senior US officials such as Doug Feith have dual loyalties to America and the Israeli Likud Party.^[70]

Cole opposes boycotts of Israeli academics because he believes that the academic community in Israel is mostly opposed to the policies of the Likud party.^[71]

Cole's positive prescriptions can be summarized thus:

It wouldn't take much now to settle the Israel-Palestine thing, and the time is ripe to have Israel give back the Golan to Syria and the Shebaa Farms to Lebanon in return for a genuine peace process. The Israelis are not made more secure by crowding into the West Bank or bombing Gaza daily. South Lebanon has demonstrated the dangers of ever more sophisticated microwars over rugged territory. It is time for Israel, and for the United States, to do the right thing and rescue the Palestinians from the curse of statelessness, the slavery of the 21st century. Ending this debilitating struggle would also be the very best thing for the Israelis themselves. In one fell swoop, the US would have solved 80 percent of its problems with the Muslim world and vastly reduced the threat of terrorism. ^[72]

Cole lived in Beirut for several years, and was present for part of the 1975-1976 civil war. His overview of 20th century Lebanese history ^[73] blames the CIA for rigging elections there in 1957, in order to allow then-president Camille Chamoun a second term. (Chamoun had apparently persuaded President Dwight D. Eisenhower that the Druze leaned towards Communism.) This had the effect of forcing pro-Nasser Arab nationalists outside the political process. Cole additionally blames the influx of 100,000 Palestinian refugees in 1948--and the various later military actions against them by Syria and Israel--for the condition of Lebanese politics today.

Cole often points out the incongruity of the U.S. allying itself with offshoots of the Daawa Party in Iraq, but vehemently opposing Hizbollah in Lebanon. He says:

The Shi'ites in southern Lebanon are the poorest part of the population in Lebanon with the possible exception of the Palestinian refugees. [...] They're the movement of the deprived. And this is especially played to by the Hizbullah, which is what it is in part because of its social services and the way in which it has gotten clinics and other services to the poor in southern Lebanon. However, I wouldn't actually say that the resentments among the Shi'a in southern Lebanon are formulated in particular with regard to Sunni Arabs. They've had resentments about the Palestinians poaching on their resources. They've had resentments occasionally against the Maronite elite. In Lebanon, you know, it's a kaleidoscope. Sometimes these groups will be allied with one another. Then sometimes they'll switch off and not. But the main rhetoric has been to focus on Israel. I think Hizbullah has benefited from the Iraq situation. It has a old - in fact, Hizbullah in some ways was formed under the tutelage of the Iraqi Da'awa party. It has old and long-standing relationships with the Iraqi Shi'ite religious groups. ^[74]

When Israel attacked Lebanon in the summer of 2006, Cole accused both sides of committing "war crimes" against civilians. Cole stated that "[Israel has] every right to defend itself against Nasrallah and his mad bombers" while voicing disapproval for the "wholesale indiscriminate destruction and slaughter in which the Israelis have been engaged against the Lebanese in general."^[75] Cole also accused Israel of having planned the operation as much as a year in advance, rather than simply responding to provocation. ^[76].

Cole describes Syria thus:

Syria, population 19 million. Poor, militarily weak. Gross Domestic Product of $26 bn. [I.e. nothing.] Minority ruling clique of Alawi Shiites (think New Age California Shiism). State ideology, secular Baath Socialist Arab Nationalism, an ideology founded by Arab Christians and which has nothing much to do with Islam. Would make peace with Israel and the US in exchange for the return of the Golan Heights and an equitable resolution of the plight of the Palestinians. ^[77]

Syria helped bring about Lebanon's Cedar Revolution by "overplaying its hand and making the Lebanese accept its choice for president, Gen. Emile Lahoud..." ^[78] As a result of these political shifts, the Baathists are concerned that their Lebanese opponents "will try to use the UN, the US and Israel to unseat them," and in order to forstall this, have attempted or successfully arranged several assassinations in that country. ^[79]

As to the possibility of "regime change," Cole writes:

If the Baath regime in Syria really were overthrown at this point in time, likely the Muslim Brotherhood would take power in Damascus. [...] It would be far more menacing to Israel than the secular Baathists, who just want the Golan back and a basic humane settlement for the stateless Palestinians. The Syrian Muslim Brotherhood in power would certainly fully back the Sunni Arab resistance in Iraq, would connive at overthrowing the Hashemite monarchy in Jordan, and would hook up powerfully with Hamas in Gaza. A Muslim Brotherhood Saladin might emerge who could unite the entire Sunni Arab Greater Syrian hinterland against Israel, posing a profound threat to it. ^[80]

Syria now hosts 1.4 million refugees from Iraq, but has recently tightened visa rules and is attempting to gradually repatriate them (despite the arrival of 500 more every day). ^[81]

Cole takes a generally negative view of Kurdish separatist movements, though he supports cultural and language rights for the Kurdish people. On June 18, 2007, in regard to an article in The Guardian on tensions between Turkey, the PKK, and Iraqi Kurdistan, Cole wrote:

...things [in Turkey] have changed in the past 30 years, though the good Lord knows that much remains to be done in ensuring that Turkish Kurds are first class citizens (not a goal that will be reached by thuggish, murderous PKK tactics). First of all, Turkish Kurds have spread all over Turkey as guest workers. There are millions living in cities such as Istanbul and other industrial centers. Political scientists studying their voting patterns have found that they vote like other Turkish citizens living in the same place. That is, Kurds in Istanbul vote like the Turks in surrounding neighborhoods. There is no pan-Kurdish political identity in Turkey. Only a tiny proportion of Turkish Kurds supports the PKK, which has a very nasty history as a far-left terrorist group that killed thousands.

See here ^[82] for Cole's analysis of a political opinion poll in southeastern Turkey.

Cole criticizes Iraqi Kurdistan under Massoud Barzani as "proto-fascist" ^[83], and opposes the partition of Iraq into multiple sovereign states, while conceding that some sort of devolution is inevitable. As of 2006, Cole recommended the establishment of five "superprovinces" ("Deep South, Middle Euphrates, Baghdad, Sunnistan, and Kurdistan, along with two smaller ethnic enclaves, of Turkomanistan and Chaldeanistan in the north..."); the partition of the Kirkuk region as a compromise between Kurdish, Arab, Chaldean, and Turkmen aspirations (with Kirkuk itself as a shared capital on the model of India's Chandigarh); and a complex oil-sharing formula:

Of Kirkuk's petroleum profits, the central government gets 33 percent. The Kurdistan regional confederacy gets 33% if it stays in Iraq. If Kurdistan secedes, it gets nothing. The oil belongs to Iraq. This principle should be guaranteed by the Coalition.

Some formula would have to be worked out for apportioning the 33% among Turkomans, Chaldeans and Sunnistan. Sunnistan is much bigger but will have other sources of income...

And here's the rest. The [southern Iraqi] Rumaila oil field income is also split up. 20% goes to the federal government. 20% goes to Deep South Provincial Confederacy. 20% goes to Middle Euphrates Provincial Confederacy. 20% goes to Baghdad Province. And 20% goes to Sunni Arab Confederacy. [Informed Comment, May 1, 2006]

He often cites the partition of India, in which hundreds of thousands died and tens of millions were made refugees, as a cautionary example arguing against a division of Iraq into multiple sovereign states.

As for Syria (home to 2 million Kurds), Bashar al-Assad's government views Kurdish aspirations as a threat, and therefore supports Turkey (despite having secretly assisted Iraq's Kurds during the 1990's. ^[84]

The Kurdish situation in Iran, and the government's attitude to it, is roughly similar. Cole suspects the U.S. military and intelligence services of supporting PEJAK ^[85] and counts this as yet another of the various "fronts" of the Iraqi civil war.^[86]

Cole opposes the Pervez Musharraf regime, which he blames for cracking down on democracy activists, while simultaneously allowing Islamists based in Pakistan's Northwest Frontier Province to consolidate and expand their political power. He points out that Musharraf is actually a "hawk" with respect to India (in contrast to the government of Nawaz Sharif, which had made overtures to it before the coup), and cancelled a special-forces operation aimed at killing Osama bin Ladin. (The operation had been urged by President Clinton, and if successful, would likely have prevented 9-11.)

Cole also censures the George W. Bush administration for not pushing for democratization in Pakistan. Such a development would not threaten U.S. interests, he writes, since whenever elections have been held, Taliban-like movements have not received much support from voters. On the contrary, the danger is that U.S. support for Musharraf may alienate middle-class Pakistanis. ^[87]

Cole's wife Shahin received her legal education in Lahore, Pakistan, and has also written against Musharraf's crackdown. ^[88]

Cole recommends that "the US should strong-arm India and Pakistan into a final settlement of the Kashmir issue. [...]The Kashmir issue generates far more terrorism, and even the threat of nuclear war, than Iraq ever did." ^[89]

In 2002 he wrote that "It is unclear whether Musharraf simply cannot stop the terrorists [from Kashmir into India], or whether his military government is still lukewarm about trying to do so." ^[90] However, in 2005 he expressed doubt that one would find

many, if any, persons engaged in international terrorism from Kashmir. There has been a lot of political violence in Kashmir, but there are two sides to it, and heavy-handed Indian military tactics have killed a lot of Kashmiris. The UN had decreed that a referendum would be held in Kashmir on its future, which India has ever since 1948 refused to allow. ^[91]

Cole lived in Cairo for several years during the 1970's (after fleeing Lebanon). On pressures for democracy in Egypt, he writes that "Having a slightly more representative government is always to the good, but the Muslim Brotherhood is not exactly a force for progressivism in the region." ^[92] He attributes the success of the Muslim Brotherhood to 1960's-era support from Saudi Arabia (which distrusted Nasser's secular nationalism); and more generally, to the legacy of British imperialism. ^[93] His book Napoleon's Egypt holds up that historic episode as a mirror of contemporary American policies in Iraq.

While Cole does not often discuss Sudan ("There are lots of massacres, deaths and tragedies in the world that I don't have time to cover in my little blog...") ^[94], he does argue that rather than than a "black African" versus "Arab" conflict (as "rightwing Zionists" characterize it for the benefit of American domestic politics), "the [North / South] dispute is not about race. It is about political separatism and regionalism." ^[95] The parties to the conflict are, in fact, racially indistinguishable. In Darfur they are also religiously indistinguishable (both groups being Muslim), and Arabic is spoken to some extent on both sides.

Alexander H. Joffe in the Middle East Quarterly has written that "Cole suggests that many American Jewish officials hold dual loyalties, a frequent anti-Semitic theme."^[96]. Cole argues that his critics have "perverted the word 'antisemitic,'" and also points out that "in the Middle East Studies establishment in the United States, I have stood with Israeli colleagues and against any attempt to marginalize them or boycott them".^[97]

According to Efraim Karsh, Cole has done "hardly any independent research on the twentieth-century Middle East", and Karsh characterized Cole's analysis of this era as "derivative." He has also responded to Cole's criticism of Israeli policies and the influence of the Israel lobby, comparing them to accusations that have been made in anti-semitic writings.^[98] Cole responded directly to Karsh in his blog, dismissing one of Karsh's charges, that Cole's criticisms echo themes in the antisemitic tract Protocols of the Elders of Zion, as a "propaganda technique," adding that "No serious person who knows me or my work would credit his outrageous insinuations for a moment." Cole also defended his knowledge of modern Middle Eastern history, comparing his experience "on the ground" in the modern Arab world favorably with that of Bernard Lewis, a historian he said is "lionized" by Karsh.^[99]

• The Ayatollahs and Democracy in Iraq (Amsterdam University Press, 2006) [ISBN 9789053568897]
• Historiography of the Muslim Brotherhood, essay in Middle East Historiographies: Narrating the Twentieth Century by Israel Gershoni et al, 2006
• The Imagined Embrace: Gender, Identity and Iranian Ethnicity in Jahangiri Paintings. In Michel Mazzaoui, ed. Safavid Iran and her Neighbors (Salt Lake City: Utah University Press, 2003), pp. 49-62.
• Sacred Space and Holy War: The Politics, Culture and History of Shi`ite Islam (London: I.B. Tauris, 2002) [ISBN 1860647367]
• Modernity and the Millennium:The Genesis of the Baha'i Faith in the Nineteenth-Century Middle East. New York:Columbia University Press. May, 1998) ISBN 0-231-11081-2
• Colonialism and Revolution in the Middle East: Social and Cultural Origins of Egypt's `Urabi Movement. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1993. Paperback edn., Cairo: American University in Cairo Press, 1999)
• Comparing Muslim Societies. [Edited.] (Comparative Studies in Society and History series.) Ann Arbor:University of Michigan Press, 1992. Review
• Roots of North Indian Shi`ism in Iran and Iraq: Religion and State in Awadh, 1722-1859. Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press, 1988; New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1991)
• Shi`ism and Social Protest. [Edited, with Nikki Keddie]. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1986)
• From Iran East and West: Studies in Babi and Baha'i History, vol. 2 [Edited, with Moojan Momen, and contributor.] "Baha'u'llah and the Naqshbandi Sufis in Iraq, 1854-1856." Los Angeles:Kalimat Press, 1984)

• Rashid Rida on tne the Baha'i Fairth: A Utilitarian Theory of the Spread of Religions, Arab Studies Quarterly 5, 3 (Summer 1983): 276-291

• Nationalism and the Colonial Legacy in the Middle East and Central Asia. Co-edited with Deniz Kandiyoti. Special Issue of The International Journal of Middle East Studies Vol. 34, no. 2 (May 2002), pp. 187-424.

• The United States and Shi‘ite Religious Factions in Post-Ba‘thist Iraq, MIDDLE EAST JOURNAL VOLUME 57, NO. 4, AUTUMN 2003

• The Taliban, Women, and the Hegelian Private Sphere, Social Research- An International Quarterly of the Social Sciences: Islam Private and Public Spheres, Volume 70 No. 2 (Fall 2003)

• The Iraqi Shiites: On the history of America’s would-be allies,, Boston Review, Fall, 2003.

• A Shia Crescent: What Fallout for the United States, J.I. Cole et al Symposium Middle East Policy Council Journal Volume XII, Winter 2005, Number 4

• The Reelection of Bush and the Fate of Iraq, Constellations, Volume 12, no. 2 (June 2005): 164-172.

• A ‘Shiite Crescent’? The Regional Impact of the Iraq War.” Current History. (January 2006): 20-26.

• Religion in Iran: From Zoroaster to Baha'u'llah by Alessandro Bausani. [Editor of this English translation of Persia Religiosa, Milan, 1958, and contributor of afterwords and bibliographical updates]. New York: Bibliotheca Persica Press, 2000.
• Broken Wings: A Novel by Kahlil Gibran. [Translation of the Arabic novel, al-Ajnihah al-Mutakassirah.] Ashland, Or.: White Cloud Press, 1998)
• The Vision [ar-Ru'ya] of Kahlil Gibran [prose poems translated from the Arabic]. Harmondsworth: Penguin, 1998. [ Hardcover Edn.: Ashland, Or.: White Cloud Press, 1994)
• Spirit Brides [`Ara'is al-muruj] of Kahlil Gibran [short stories translated from the Arabic]. Santa Cruz: White Cloud Press, 1993.
• Letters and Essays 1886-1913 [Rasa'il va Raqa'im] of Mirza Abu'l-Fadl Gulpaygani [tr. from Arabic and Persian]. Los Angeles: Kalimat Press, 1985.
• Miracles and Metaphors [Ad-Durar al-bahiyyah] of Mirza Abu'l-Fadl Gulpaygani [tr. from the Arabic and annotated]. Los Angeles: Kalimat Press, 1982)

See Juan R. I. Cole Publications for complete list of publications.

• Juan R. I. Cole Home Page at the University of Michigan
• Informed Comment - Juan Cole's weblog
• [Iraq] Three-State Solution? The Nation review, March 29, 2004
• [1] Alexander H. Joffe, "Juan Cole and the Decline of Middle Eastern Studies", article in Middle East Quarterly, Winter 2006