Earth (novel)

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Title Earth

Cover of first edition (hardcover)and the second edition (paperback)
Author David Brin
Country United States
Language English
Genre(s) Science fiction novel
Publisher Bantam Books
Released 1990
Media type Print (Hardcover & Paperback)
Pages 601 pp
ISBN ISBN 0-553-07064-9
Cover of 1991 Spectra mass market paperback edition. Art by Bruce Jensen
Cover of 1991 Spectra mass market paperback edition. Art by Bruce Jensen

Earth is a 1990 science fiction novel written by David Brin. The book was nominated for the Hugo Award for Best Novel in 1991.

Set in the year 2038, the book is a cautionary tale of the harm humans can cause their planet via disregard for the environment and reckless scientific experiments. The book has a large cast of characters and Brin uses them to address a number of environmental issues including endangered species, global warming, refugees from ecological disasters, ecoterrorism, and the social effects of overpopulation. The plot of the book involves an artificially created black hole which has been lost in the Earth's interior and the attempts to recover it before it destroys the planet. The events and revelations which follow reshape humanity and its future in the universe.

The scope of the story expands vastly as the plot gradually reveals itself, bringing into question the future course — and even the survival — of humanity.

Brin set this novel 50 years in the future from the time he was writing, using the book as an opportunity to predict what technologies might — at that future date — be taken for granted day to day. Three technologies he predicted, which were unheard of at the time, came to pass within only twenty years of the writing, include a media-centric, hypertext Internet, e-mail spam, and the proliferation of personal video recording devices.

Brin claims at least 15 predictive hits in Earth including:

  • The Web (In fact, the Web is similar in capability to, but different in detail from, Brin's global network. In particular, URLs are much easier to read than the numeric identifiers in the book)
  • Privacy as a vanishing commodity
  • Global warming sea rise
  • accelerated global warming that results in worsening storm seasons
  • subvocal input devices
  • manmade black holes taken seriously
  • crisis habitat arcs
  • eyeglass cams
  • eyeglass VR overlays on real environments
  • levees breaking on the Mississippi (Hurricane Katrina)
  • brain imaging->personality profiling
  • geological-scale sculptures
  • the partition of the Soviet Union
  • blogging
  • decline of delivered mail
  • lawyer programs

Other events in the novel have yet to occur, including

  • the creation of the Swiss Navy (or 'Helvetian Navy', as it is known in the book). The conciliatory attitude of the Swiss to Holocaust victims whose assets were stolen by the Nazis with the aid of Swiss bankers gives reason to hope that the world will never declare Switzerland an outlaw state, much less "nuke" it.
  • so far, no one is known to have captured or built a black hole that could migrate to the Earth's core.

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